Pharma BD Deal Intelligence

Eli Lilly and Company / ARMO BioSciences Inc.

2018 · Acquisition/Merger · $1.6B · Complete

Eli Lilly's $1.6B all-cash acquisition of ARMO BioSciences bet big on pegilodecakin, a Phase III immuno-oncology candidate spanning pancreatic, lung, kidney, and melanoma tumors. The bust came fast: pivotal trial data failed to show benefit, and Lilly wrote off the program within two years of closing.

WRONG BY 73 POINTS
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Ranks computed across 828 graded deals (Critic + Outcome Score both present).

The coverage arc

May 10, 2018 GEN News Bullish

Lilly to acquire ARMO BioSciences for $1.6B adding pegilodecakin immuno-oncology candidate.

Jun 24, 2018 Pharmaceutical Technology Bullish

Eli Lilly closes $1.6bn ARMO BioSciences acquisition, bolstering its immuno-oncology program through the addition of pegilodecakin, a PEGylated IL-10.

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Eli Lilly acquired ARMO BioSciences for approximately $1.6 billion ($50 per share) in an all-cash tender offer, gaining pegilodecakin (PEGylated IL-10), a Phase III immuno-oncology asset being studied across multiple solid tumor types.

Key facts

Disease & market context

Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

200K US cases/yr · $30.0B Global NSCLC therapeutics

Disease Overview

NSCLC accounts for ~85% of lung cancers. Treatment has been revolutionized by immunotherapy and targeted therapies for driver mutations (EGFR, ALK, ROS1, KRAS G12C). Checkpoint inhibitors are standard first-line for most patients without actionable mutations.

Standard of Care & Competitive Landscape

No driver mutation: pembrolizumab +/- chemo. EGFR+: osimertinib. ALK+: alectinib, lorlatinib. KRAS G12C: sotorasib. Key players: Merck (Keytruda $25B+), Roche (Tecentriq), AZ (Tagrisso $5B+, Imfinzi), Pfizer (Lorbrena), Amgen (Lumakras).

Melanoma

100K US cases/yr · $12.0B Global melanoma therapeutics

Disease Overview

Melanoma treatment has been revolutionized by checkpoint immunotherapy and BRAF/MEK targeted therapy. Adjuvant immunotherapy has improved cure rates for resected high-risk disease.

Standard of Care & Competitive Landscape

BRAF-mutated: dabrafenib + trametinib or encorafenib + binimetinib. BRAF-wt: nivolumab +/- ipilimumab or pembrolizumab. Key players: BMS (Opdivo, Yervoy, Opdualag), Merck (Keytruda), Novartis (Tafinlar+Mekinist), Iovance (lifileucel).

Renal Cell Carcinoma

82K US cases/yr · $8.0B Global RCC therapeutics

Disease Overview

RCC accounts for ~90% of kidney cancers. IO-TKI combinations have become standard first-line for advanced disease.

Standard of Care & Competitive Landscape

First-line: pembrolizumab + lenvatinib, nivolumab + cabozantinib, or nivolumab + ipilimumab. Key players: Merck/Eisai (Keytruda+Lenvima), BMS (Opdivo), Exelixis (Cabometyx), Pfizer (Inlyta).

Pancreatic Cancer

64K US cases/yr · $3.0B Global pancreatic cancer therapeutics

Disease Overview

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma has the worst prognosis of any major cancer. Most patients present with advanced disease. Chemotherapy remains backbone with limited targeted therapy options.

Standard of Care

Resectable: surgery + adjuvant FOLFIRINOX or gemcitabine/capecitabine. Advanced: FOLFIRINOX or gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel. Multiple KRAS-targeted programs in development. Key players: Celgene/BMS (Abraxane), Ipsen (Onivyde).

Deal timeline

Related deals — scored

DealYearValueOutcome
Eli Lilly and Company / ARMO BioSciences Inc. (this deal)2018$1.6B15
Eli Lilly and Company / Boehringer Ingelheim GmbH2011$444M89
Eli Lilly and Company / Loxo Oncology, Inc.2019$8.0B88
Eli Lilly and Company / Applied Molecular Evolution Inc.2003$400M88
Eli Lilly and Company / ICOS Corporation2006$2.3B87
Eli Lilly and Company / Novartis Animal Health2014$5.4B70
Eli Lilly and Company / Incyte Corporation2009$755M69

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