Pharma BD Deal Intelligence
Ranks computed across 828 graded deals (Critic + Outcome Score both present).
Victoza captured 26% of GLP-1 class prescriptions and 33.9% of new starts within months of launch — foreshadowing the share-erosion challenge AZ/BMS would…
AstraZeneca paid BMS ~$3.4B cash for 50/50 profit share on Amylin's diabetes portfolio (Byetta, Bydureon, metreleptin); optional $135M for equal governance…
Subsequent head-to-head data and Lilly's dulaglutide entry confirmed the post-deal concern that Bydureon's once-weekly advantage was eroding faster than the…
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Following BMS acquisition of Amylin, AstraZeneca paid BMS $3.4B cash to enter 50/50 profit share on the Amylin GLP-1 portfolio (Byetta, Bydureon). Optional $135M for equal governance rights. Expanded the existing BMS-AZ diabetes alliance.
Assessment window: 5yr post-close.
$3.0B Global GLP-1 receptor agonist class market (~$3B at deal time)
Type 2 diabetes is a chronic metabolic disease characterized by insulin resistance and progressive beta-cell dysfunction, leading to chronic hyperglycemia and cardiovascular, renal, retinal, and neurologic complications. The GLP-1 receptor agonist class promotes glucose-dependent insulin secretion, suppresses glucagon, slows gastric emptying, and supports weight loss — addressing multiple disease drivers simultaneously.
At the June 2012 deal, the GLP-1 class was already a $3B global market in active reshuffling. Amylin's Byetta (twice-daily exenatide), launched in 2005, peaked at $678.5M in 2008 but had been rapidly losing share to Novo Nordisk's Victoza (liraglutide, once-daily, launched Feb 2010), which captured 26% of GLP-1 prescriptions and 33.9% of new starts within months and ultimately took ~two-thirds market share (cbsnews.com). The strategic prize was Bydureon (exenatide extended-release), the first and only once-weekly GLP-1, FDA-approved Jan 27, 2012 — five months before this deal — using Alkermes' proprietary microsphere technology, priced at $323/month vs. Victoza's $421. Lilly's dulaglutide (Trulicity) and Sanofi's lixisenatide were in late-stage development. Amylin also held metreleptin (later Myalept), a leptin analog for severe lipodystrophy. AstraZeneca's $3.4B payment to enter a 50/50 profit share alongside BMS — following BMS's $5.3B Amylin acquisition — gave AZ instant scale in GLP-1 to complement its Onglyza/Kombiglyze DPP-4 franchise. The structure was unwound 18 months later when AZ paid BMS to take full ownership in Dec 2013, signaling that the joint-venture model underdelivered relative to the price paid.
| Deal | Year | Value | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| AstraZeneca PLC / Bristol-Myers Squibb Company / Amylin diabetes alliance (this deal) | 2012 | $3.5B | 77 |
| AstraZeneca PLC / Daiichi Sankyo Company, Limited | 2019 | $6.9B | 100 |
| AstraZeneca PLC / KuDOS Pharmaceuticals Limited | 2005 | $210M | 98 |
| AstraZeneca PLC / Alexion Pharmaceuticals Inc. | 2020 | $39.0B | 86 |
| AstraZeneca PLC / Acerta Pharma | 2015 | $4.0B | 86 |
| AstraZeneca PLC / Amgen Inc. | 2020 | $2.3B | 84 |
| AstraZeneca PLC / MedImmune Inc. | 2007 | $15.6B | 82 |
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